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Red80
465319.0
314224.4
428126.0
Blue97
86928.6
573217.4
29336.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions588201001502008097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4281
#19
26.00.8
24.225.1
Auto0.7
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 10.8
293
#8
36.91.1
35.436.5
Auto0.0
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Second
3142
#27
24.40.8
20.321.1
Auto0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 4.1
869
#9
28.61.1
28.729.8
Auto1.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
4653
#17
19.00.8
19.119.9
Auto0.2
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 1.6
5732
#21
17.41.3
17.418.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0