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Red38
54904.3
130213.1
29336.9
Blue29
207013.2
86928.6
19326.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57522040801003829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#8
36.91.0
34.833.8
Auto0.0
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 8.3
869
#9
28.61.3
23.422.1
Auto1.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
1302
#36
13.11.0
15.814.8
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 13.4
193
#24
26.51.3
25.924.6
Auto0.2
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Third
5490
#38
4.31.0
7.76.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 8.9
2070
#31DQ
13.22.1
5.23.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0