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Red119
181136.0
7541.2
137017.9
Blue124
122825.8
331434.8
314224.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9378204060120140160180119124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#5
41.20.4
40.741.2
Auto0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 6.4
3314
#11
34.80.7
34.134.8
Auto0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
36.00.4
35.636.0
Auto0.2
Teleop35.8
End0.0
red by 10.2
1228
#16
25.80.7
25.125.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
1370
#22
17.90.4
17.517.9
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 6.5
3142
#27
24.40.7
23.724.4
Auto0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0