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Red85
428521.5
114326.4
122817.9
Blue62
21928.0
1129.2
447511.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60670501001502008562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.4
25.726.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 2.8
11
#3
29.20.1
29.229.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
4285
#14
21.50.4
20.821.2
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 6.5
219
#5
28.00.1
28.027.8
Auto0.2
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Third
1228
#22
17.90.4
17.217.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 6.5
4475
#29
11.50.1
11.511.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0