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Red6
447511.5
198912.0
122817.9
Blue62
29333.3
130217.1
125719.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28570100150662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1228
#22
17.92.3
15.413.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 15.4
293
#4
33.32.1
28.030.2
Auto0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
1989
#31
12.02.3
10.78.4
Auto1.2
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 7.6
1257
#10
19.62.1
11.313.4
Auto0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
4475
#29
11.52.3
7.14.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 5.7
1302
#19
17.12.1
15.117.2
Auto0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0