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Red54
127919.9
86921.1
4116.2
Blue56
428118.2
167623.9
54387.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405002060801001201401605456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#12
21.10.9
15.716.6
Auto0.8
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 2.8
1676
#11
23.90.5
25.425.9
Auto0.3
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Second
1279
#18
19.90.9
17.017.8
Auto0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 1.7
18.20.5
11.612.1
Auto0.0
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
41
#17
16.20.9
10.611.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 9.2
5438
#30
7.00.5
13.213.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0