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Red30
21928.0
465315.0
314219.3
Blue24
25778.0
22311.2
122817.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383102060801003024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#5
28.00.7
14.714.0
Auto0.2
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 10.0
1228
#22
17.90.8
13.112.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Second
3142
#16
19.30.7
10.610.0
Auto0.3
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 8.0
223
#28
11.20.8
11.911.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
4653
#20
15.00.7
12.912.2
Auto0.5
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 7.0
2577
#34
8.00.8
8.27.4
Auto0.0
Teleop8.0
End0.0