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Red34
436117.7
428521.5
167212.3
Blue41
428118.2
125719.6
1367.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32300204060801003441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4285
#14
21.50.1
11.711.7
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 1.9
1257
#10
19.60.8
15.816.6
Auto0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
4361
#15
17.70.1
11.511.5
Auto0.5
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 0.5
18.20.8
12.112.9
Auto0.0
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
1672
#27
12.30.1
9.910.0
Auto0.8
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 4.7
136
#32
7.60.8
3.44.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.8
End0.0