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Red66
30334.6
4116.2
314219.3
Blue100
21928.0
127919.9
181117.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4140020608010066100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#2
34.62.0
20.022.1
Auto0.1
Teleop34.4
End0.0
red by 6.6
219
#5
28.04.8
14.018.8
Auto0.2
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
3142
#16
19.32.0
10.012.0
Auto0.3
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 0.6
1279
#18
19.94.8
17.822.7
Auto0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
41
#17
16.22.0
11.513.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 1.4
1811
#13
17.64.8
10.315.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0