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Red106
29333.3
30334.6
86921.1
Blue72
4116.2
1129.2
192315.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7342020608010012014010672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#2
34.62.9
23.626.5
Auto0.1
Teleop34.4
End0.0
red by 5.3
11
#3
29.21.2
19.020.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
293
#4
33.32.9
32.535.4
Auto0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 17.2
41
#17
16.21.9
15.317.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
869
#12
21.12.9
14.817.7
Auto0.8
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 6.0
1923
#23
15.11.9
14.416.3
Auto0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0