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Red46
29333.3
25546.0
122817.9
Blue22
334011.0
30334.6
428118.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5453203040607080904622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#4
33.30.8
35.434.7
Auto0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
blue by 1.2
303
#2
34.62.7
26.523.8
Auto0.1
Teleop34.4
End0.0
Second
1228
#22
17.90.8
9.68.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 0.2
18.22.7
17.614.8
Auto0.0
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
2554
#38
6.00.8
10.49.6
Auto0.1
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 5.0
3340
#21
11.02.7
10.67.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.1
End0.0