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Red33
29333.3
181117.6
25778.0
Blue16
314219.3
2245.5
167212.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6422040801001201401603316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#4
33.32.1
34.732.6
Auto0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 14.1
3142
#16
19.31.1
10.89.7
Auto0.3
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Second
1811
#13
17.62.1
16.614.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 5.3
1672
#27
12.31.1
11.09.9
Auto0.8
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Third
2577
#34
8.02.1
8.36.2
Auto0.0
Teleop8.0
End0.0
red by 2.5
224
#37
5.51.1
7.86.8
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End0.0