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Red48
29333.3
428521.5
22311.2
Blue29
2245.5
198912.0
127919.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573402040801001204829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#4
33.30.5
32.632.1
Auto0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 13.5
1279
#18
19.90.7
19.418.7
Auto0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
4285
#14
21.50.5
12.311.8
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 9.5
1989
#31
12.00.7
12.812.1
Auto1.2
Teleop10.8
End0.0
Third
223
#28
11.20.5
10.610.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 5.7
224
#37
5.50.7
6.86.0
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End0.0