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Red38
10321.0
314219.3
19326.8
Blue7
167212.3
25546.0
137011.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582504080100120387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#8
26.81.2
25.324.1
Auto0.6
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 14.6
1672
#27
12.31.3
9.98.6
Auto0.8
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Second
103
#24
21.01.2
20.118.9
Auto0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 9.5
1370
#26
11.51.3
11.910.5
Auto0.4
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
3142
#16
19.31.2
9.78.5
Auto0.3
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 13.2
2554
#38
6.01.3
9.58.2
Auto0.1
Teleop5.9
End0.0