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Red36
125719.6
334011.0
54387.0
Blue6
4116.2
53108.2
25778.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3535010203040506070366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1257
#10
19.60.0
19.819.8
Auto0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 3.4
41
#17
16.21.9
19.017.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Second
3340
#21
11.00.0
11.811.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.1
End0.0
red by 2.8
5310
#35
8.21.9
10.48.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End0.0
Third
5438
#30
7.00.0
4.64.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 1.0
2577
#34
8.01.9
7.35.4
Auto0.0
Teleop8.0
End0.0