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Red108
29333.3
5635.7
4116.2
Blue98
428521.5
114326.4
122817.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8951010015010898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#1
35.70.4
36.036.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.8
End0.0
red by 9.4
26.40.6
24.124.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
293
#4
33.30.4
33.634.0
Auto0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 11.8
4285
#14
21.50.6
19.219.9
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
41
#17
16.20.4
16.416.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 1.8
1228
#22
17.90.6
15.716.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0