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Red21
10321.0
86921.1
314219.3
Blue80
428521.5
114326.4
122817.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605940801002180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#12
21.10.7
21.420.7
Auto0.8
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 5.3
26.40.3
24.825.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
103
#24
21.00.7
21.320.6
Auto0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 0.5
4285
#14
21.50.3
19.920.2
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
3142
#16
19.30.7
19.518.9
Auto0.3
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 1.3
1228
#22
17.90.3
16.316.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0