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Red186
259065.3
30371.2
334016.8
Blue131
19334.1
1147.4
125725.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1569250200250186131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#1
71.20.6
70.871.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop71.6
End0.0
red by 23.8
11
#3
47.40.4
47.047.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop47.5
End0.0
Second
65.30.6
64.865.4
Auto2.0
Teleop63.2
End0.0
red by 31.2
193
#10
34.10.4
33.734.1
Auto0.5
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Third
3340
#24
16.80.6
16.417.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 8.6
1257
#22
25.40.4
25.025.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.5
End0.0