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Red126
19334.1
1147.4
125725.4
Blue48
457329.4
562425.3
446025.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037405015012648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#3
47.40.4
45.946.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop47.5
End0.0
red by 18.0
4573
#14
29.40.6
29.929.4
Auto0.1
Teleop29.3
End0.0
Second
193
#10
34.10.4
32.532.9
Auto0.5
Teleop33.6
End0.0
red by 8.8
5624
#13
25.30.6
25.925.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Third
1257
#22
25.40.4
23.924.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 0.3
4460
#20
25.10.6
25.725.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop25.6
End0.0