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Red68
24586.2
315120.9
180716.5
Blue80
86936.6
457329.4
566613.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37590501001506880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3151
#17
20.91.3
20.621.9
Auto0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 15.6
869
#7
36.61.1
29.830.9
Auto1.4
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Second
1807
#26
16.51.3
17.018.3
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 12.8
4573
#14
29.41.1
23.124.2
Auto0.1
Teleop29.3
End0.0
Third
2458
#34
6.21.3
4.55.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 7.5
5666
#25
13.71.1
5.26.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0