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Red123
30371.2
75212.5
495431.5
Blue112
218019.7
428534.7
19334.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806102040100120140160123112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#1
71.22.1
57.559.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop71.6
End0.0
red by 36.5
34.72.3
20.522.8
Auto0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Second
31.52.2
15.617.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop32.2
End0.0
blue by 2.6
193
#10
34.12.3
24.927.2
Auto0.5
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Third
752
#27
12.53.6
6.910.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 7.3
2180
#23
19.72.3
20.622.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.1
End0.0