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Red43
86936.6
5558.0
209512.7
Blue22
21939.6
428127.1
218019.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41850501001502004322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#7
36.60.0
30.930.8
Auto1.4
Teleop35.2
End0.0
blue by 3.1
219
#6
39.63.0
31.528.6
Auto0.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Second
2095
#30
12.70.0
11.211.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 14.4
4281
#21
27.13.0
26.924.0
Auto0.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Third
555
#33
8.00.0
7.47.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 11.7
2180
#23
19.73.0
22.919.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.1
End0.0