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Red56
125725.4
334016.8
543816.5
Blue38
139117.5
315120.9
5558.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414002060805638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1257
#22
25.40.8
20.521.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 4.5
3151
#17
20.90.3
21.921.6
Auto0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
3340
#24
16.80.8
11.612.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 0.7
1391
#29
17.50.3
14.013.7
Auto0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
5438
#16
16.50.8
8.08.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 8.5
555
#33
8.00.3
7.47.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End0.0