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Red16
209512.7
21939.6
334016.8
Blue41
19334.1
125725.4
457329.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467601001501641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#6
39.61.5
28.627.0
Auto0.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
red by 5.6
193
#10
34.11.6
28.526.8
Auto0.5
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Second
3340
#24
16.81.5
12.410.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 12.5
4573
#14
29.41.6
24.022.3
Auto0.1
Teleop29.3
End0.0
Third
2095
#30
12.71.5
11.29.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 12.7
1257
#22
25.41.6
21.319.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.5
End0.0