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Red124
71418.3
218019.7
1147.4
Blue117
223432.2
125725.4
21939.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717020406080100120124117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#3
47.42.7
37.740.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop47.5
End0.0
red by 7.8
219
#6
39.62.1
27.029.1
Auto0.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Second
2180
#23
19.72.7
20.823.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 12.5
2234
#12
32.22.1
28.730.8
Auto1.4
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Third
714
#18
18.32.7
12.315.0
Auto0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 7.1
1257
#22
25.42.1
19.721.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.5
End0.0