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Red98
209512.7
125725.4
192330.4
Blue116
457329.4
495431.5
8968.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5946020408010098116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#15
30.41.9
26.928.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 1.2
31.53.3
20.423.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop32.2
End0.0
Second
1257
#22
25.41.9
21.823.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.5
End0.0
blue by 4.0
4573
#14
29.43.3
23.727.0
Auto0.1
Teleop29.3
End0.0
Third
2095
#30
12.71.9
10.812.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 4.6
896
#32
8.13.3
5.89.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0