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Red139
198925.4
428534.7
1147.4
Blue131
125725.4
315120.9
30371.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78107050150200250139131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#3
47.42.7
41.844.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop47.5
End0.0
blue by 23.8
303
#1
71.21.2
61.662.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop71.6
End0.0
Second
34.72.7
28.030.6
Auto0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
red by 9.3
1257
#22
25.41.2
23.724.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Third
25.42.7
15.818.5
Auto1.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
red by 4.4
3151
#17
20.91.2
21.022.2
Auto0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0