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Red63
139117.5
259065.3
180716.5
Blue58
209512.7
19334.1
8968.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103370501502006358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.31.4
63.762.4
Auto2.0
Teleop63.2
End0.0
red by 31.2
193
#10
34.10.5
26.627.0
Auto0.5
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Second
1391
#29
17.51.4
14.613.3
Auto0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 4.8
2095
#30
12.70.5
12.713.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
1807
#26
16.51.4
17.816.4
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 8.4
896
#32
8.10.5
9.19.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0