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Red10
223432.2
218019.7
5558.0
Blue52
75212.5
331437.6
334016.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5753102030407080901052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2234
#12
32.22.1
31.028.9
Auto1.4
Teleop30.8
End0.0
blue by 5.4
3314
#11
37.60.2
34.234.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Second
2180
#23
19.72.1
20.618.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.1
End0.0
red by 2.9
3340
#24
16.80.2
12.912.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
555
#33
8.02.1
7.25.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 4.4
752
#27
12.50.3
8.88.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0