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Red28
334016.8
315120.9
19334.1
Blue42
207013.6
192330.4
75212.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6042020801001202842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#10
34.11.6
26.524.9
Auto0.5
Teleop33.6
End0.0
red by 3.7
1923
#15
30.40.2
26.225.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
3151
#17
20.91.6
22.220.6
Auto0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 7.3
2070
#28
13.60.2
13.213.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
3340
#24
16.81.6
11.19.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 4.4
752
#27
12.50.4
7.36.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0