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Red170
259065.3
30371.2
334016.8
Blue120
2537.0
428534.7
32132.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15488050200250170120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#1
71.20.4
69.770.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop71.6
End0.0
red by 34.2
25
#8
37.00.3
36.236.5
Auto0.6
Teleop36.4
End0.0
Second
65.30.4
63.864.2
Auto2.0
Teleop63.2
End0.0
red by 30.6
34.70.3
33.934.2
Auto0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
3340
#24
16.80.4
15.415.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 15.5
321
#19
32.30.3
31.932.2
Auto0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0