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Red117
201631.6
20342.5
4119.4
Blue86
21933.6
219125.3
83424.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908120406010012014016011786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#4
42.50.4
42.042.5
Auto0.8
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 8.9
219
#8
33.60.0
34.434.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
31.60.4
31.131.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 6.3
25.30.0
26.126.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
41
#21
19.40.4
19.019.4
Auto0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 4.7
834
#15
24.10.0
24.924.9
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0