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Red113
22321.7
164738.9
255922.0
Blue44
545722.4
218020.8
315119.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805805010015011344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.90.6
37.838.4
Auto0.9
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 16.5
5457
#14
22.40.3
22.722.4
Auto0.8
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Second
2559
#28
22.00.6
20.921.4
Auto0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 1.2
2180
#12
20.80.3
21.120.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
223
#13
21.70.6
20.621.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 2.2
3151
#19
19.50.3
19.919.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0