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Red43
316710.2
180716.0
511317.7
Blue112
20423.3
164057.1
24585.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4365010015020025043112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5113
#31
17.70.3
18.218.0
Auto0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 39.4
57.12.4
41.143.5
Auto0.3
Teleop56.8
End0.0
Second
1807
#18
16.00.5
14.013.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 7.3
204
#16
23.32.4
17.119.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
3167
#34
10.20.3
16.215.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
2458
#37
5.84.0
5.99.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0