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Red6
20342.5
83424.1
24585.8
Blue16
316710.2
36071.2
249517.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7022050100150616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#4
42.52.9
37.034.1
Auto0.8
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 24.9
2495
#24
17.60.4
16.215.8
Auto0.7
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
834
#15
24.12.9
17.714.8
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 13.9
3167
#34
10.20.4
15.915.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
2458
#37
5.84.9
9.95.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0
red by 4.6
3607
#36
1.20.4
-2.2-2.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop1.2
End0.0