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Red28
20423.3
8712.7
42315.0
Blue51
351519.5
61316.5
21933.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454402060801002851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204
#16
23.30.9
19.518.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
blue by 10.3
219
#8
33.60.5
33.233.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
423
#25
15.01.4
10.79.3
Auto0.6
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 4.6
3515
#20
19.50.8
6.77.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
87
#32
12.70.9
14.914.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 3.7
613
#23
16.50.8
7.68.4
Auto0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0