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Red41
36071.2
61316.5
83424.1
Blue78
21933.6
24585.8
201631.6
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10750501001502004178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#15
24.11.0
14.815.8
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 9.5
219
#8
33.60.8
33.634.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
613
#23
16.51.7
8.410.1
Auto0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 15.1
31.60.8
28.529.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Third
3607
#36
1.21.0
-2.6-1.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop1.2
End0.0
blue by 4.6
2458
#37
5.81.4
5.06.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0