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Red150
255922.0
164057.1
218020.8
Blue74
22321.7
20342.5
20423.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826505010015015074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.13.4
44.447.8
Auto0.3
Teleop56.8
End0.0
red by 14.6
203
#4
42.50.2
34.134.3
Auto0.8
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
2559
#28
22.03.4
19.022.3
Auto0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 1.3
204
#16
23.30.2
18.718.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
2180
#12
20.83.4
19.222.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 1.0
223
#13
21.70.2
17.017.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.1
End0.0