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Red113
81626.6
201631.6
83424.1
Blue53
568423.2
316710.2
22321.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75450206010012014016011353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.62.0
31.733.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 8.3
23.20.1
21.021.0
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
816
#10
26.62.0
23.725.7
Auto0.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 4.9
223
#13
21.70.1
17.717.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
834
#15
24.12.0
17.719.7
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 13.9
3167
#34
10.20.1
12.712.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0