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Red40
20423.3
316710.2
31632.4
Blue18
511317.7
201631.6
56667.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705402040801001201401604018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#11
32.41.5
35.433.9
Auto0.8
Teleop31.6
End0.0
red by 0.8
31.62.0
34.232.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
204
#16
23.31.5
22.220.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 5.6
5113
#31
17.72.0
15.613.5
Auto0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
3167
#34
10.21.5
12.811.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 3.2
5666
#35
7.12.7
8.96.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0