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Red10
315119.5
36071.2
24585.8
Blue101
26004.0
164057.1
108930.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219505015020025010101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3151
#19
19.51.4
21.420.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 37.6
57.10.7
53.454.1
Auto0.3
Teleop56.8
End0.0
Second
2458
#37
5.81.4
9.58.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 24.6
30.40.7
28.529.2
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Third
3607
#36
1.21.2
2.11.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop1.2
End0.0
blue by 2.8
2600
#33
4.00.7
4.75.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.2
End0.0