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Red86
81626.6
36071.2
164057.1
Blue46
8712.7
2528.6
31632.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797340601001201408646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.10.2
54.154.3
Auto0.3
Teleop56.8
End0.0
red by 24.7
316
#11
32.41.6
33.832.2
Auto0.8
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Second
816
#10
26.60.2
26.426.6
Auto0.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 2.0
25
#17
28.61.5
28.927.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Third
3607
#36
1.20.2
1.01.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop1.2
End0.0
blue by 11.5
87
#32
12.71.6
14.312.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0