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Red151
121855.4
164057.1
511317.7
Blue100
21933.6
219125.3
83424.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13072050100150200250151100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.10.4
55.555.9
Auto0.3
Teleop56.8
End0.0
red by 23.5
219
#8
33.60.3
33.834.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
55.40.4
53.854.2
Auto0.6
Teleop54.8
End0.0
red by 30.1
25.30.3
25.425.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
5113
#31
17.70.4
16.016.5
Auto0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 6.4
834
#15
24.10.3
24.324.5
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0