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Red36
519924.7
432220.0
530616.7
Blue46
480015.9
98811.4
298413.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35321020405060703646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.0
18.018.0
Auto1.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 8.8
4800
#34
15.91.0
8.69.7
Auto1.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Second
4322
#18
20.00.0
11.911.9
Auto0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 6.3
2984
#30
13.71.0
13.014.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
5306
#35
16.70.0
6.06.1
Auto1.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 5.2
988
#39
11.41.0
12.113.2
Auto-0.9
Teleop12.4
End0.0