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Qual 152015 Las Vegas Regional
Red58
298413.7
166118.8
545119.3
Blue16
546316.7
357717.5
548014.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions491601001505816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5451
#13
19.31.0
15.7→16.7
Auto0.6
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 1.8
3577
#20
17.50.0
7.4→7.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
1661
#26
18.80.7
15.9→16.6
Auto0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 2.1
5463
#32
16.70.0
9.7→9.8
Auto0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
2984
#30
13.71.0
14.0→15.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 0.3
5480
#31
14.10.0
4.5→4.5
Auto0.7
Teleop13.4
End0.0