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Red16
98811.4
5859.0
300928.2
Blue21
441517.7
414117.4
50490.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503902060801001201621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#10
28.21.7
27.625.8
Auto0.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 10.6
4415
#38
17.71.0
19.118.1
Auto0.8
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Second
988
#39
11.42.9
13.210.3
Auto-0.9
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 6.0
4141
#11
17.41.7
14.112.4
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
585
#42
9.01.7
9.78.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End0.0
red by 8.9
5049
#40
0.21.7
8.66.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.2
End0.0