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Red39
50490.2
432220.0
84231.9
Blue67
349528.0
34122.4
347316.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36600501001503967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#9
31.90.1
23.022.9
Auto4.2
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 4.0
3495
#19
28.00.4
24.925.4
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
4322
#18
20.00.1
11.010.9
Auto0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
341
#33
22.40.4
19.720.2
Auto0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
5049
#40
0.20.1
6.86.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.2
End0.0
blue by 16.2
3473
#15
16.30.4
13.513.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0