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Red19
546316.7
414117.4
81220.9
Blue59
59722.3
116022.7
301118.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37620501001502001959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
#25
20.91.9
17.515.6
Auto-1.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 1.8
1160
#22
22.70.1
22.722.6
Auto0.4
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
4141
#11
17.41.9
12.410.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 4.9
597
#27
22.30.1
22.122.0
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
5463
#32
16.71.9
12.110.2
Auto0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3011
#28
18.00.1
15.915.8
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0