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Red103
513411.8
324527.7
519924.7
Blue79
166118.8
450125.6
530616.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64470208010012014016010379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#14
27.72.0
32.033.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 2.0
25.61.4
21.322.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
24.73.3
22.726.0
Auto1.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 5.9
1661
#26
18.81.4
18.019.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
5134
#37
11.82.0
8.810.7
Auto1.2
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 4.9
5306
#35
16.72.3
11.614.0
Auto1.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0