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Red69
544514.7
116022.7
84231.9
Blue44
519924.7
441517.7
301922.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64593040507080901006944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#9
31.90.2
23.623.8
Auto4.2
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 7.2
24.71.4
22.120.7
Auto1.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
1160
#22
22.70.2
24.925.1
Auto0.4
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 0.5
3019
#23
22.20.9
21.120.2
Auto1.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
5445
#29
14.70.3
16.717.0
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 3.0
4415
#38
17.70.9
19.118.2
Auto0.8
Teleop16.8
End0.0